Pulse #37 - Count the cost: AU bankrolling infrastructure, IFC's first African CEO, price to retire in Africa, Tanzania accepts Covid too late?
In this week's Pulse...
The politicisation of pandemic response in Tanzania, IFC's first African CEO, the AU's new infrastructure fund, the consequences of climate change, inefficiencies of state-owned oil firms, and more
The Data Room
Are you contemplating retiring to sunny Africa and wondering how much it might cost? Well, you’re in luck - a new report estimates just how much you need. But the price of a comfortable retirement varies across the Continent. For instance, Ethiopia, the most expensive destination, will set you back $458,986 (although still cheaper than USA and UK at $601,490 and $515,742 respectively). Meanwhile Uganda (the cheapest) will cost less than half of that at $213,498.
Numbers in the Spotlight
$3,000,000,000,000
(USD3trn) needed to mitigate and adapt to climate change in Africa
Up to $90,000,000,000
(USD60bn-90bn) is Africa’s annual infrastructure financing gap
$600,000,000
(USD600mn) is the cost of construction for a new oil refinery in Congo Brazzaville
10,000,000 Congolese
(10mn) to get telephone connection through solar-powered masts
4,999 teams
beaten by Ghanaian high school to claim international robotics contest
3 weeks
is how long Ghana’s first LGBT+ community centre stayed open before closing pre-emptively
1st African
to lead the International Finance Corporation is Makhtar Diop
On The Continent This Week
Baseline healthcare & disease protection
Science vs. politics: Who won the Covid-19 battle in Tanzania? For months, international public health actors including the WHO waved a red flag over Tanzania’s approach to Covid-19, but president John Magufuli downplayed the disease and claimed it had been defeated by prayers. Magufuli ignored universal science-based advice and suspended Tanzania’s Covid-19 count before going on a disinformation campaign - denying the existence of the virus in Tanzania, questioning the efficacy of tests, and calling vaccines dangerous. Ultimately though, science seems to have come out on top. Magufuli has now been forced to change his stance on the virus, urging Tanzanians to take preventive measures. But only after the Vice President of Zanzibar died with Covid-19. This serves as a rude reminder that the politicisation of pandemic response and the suppression of science has only one outcome - a health crisis.
Effective internal and regional security, and foreign policy
Is the appointment of Makhtar Diop a strategy to counter China’s lending surge in Africa? To some, the naming of former Senegalese Finance Minister Makhtar Diop as the first African CEO of the World Bank’s private sector arm, the International Finance Corporation (IFC), reflects the professional barriers Africans are shattering at the global level. But to others, his appointment could be a tactic by the World Bank - where the US is the largest shareholder - to counter China’s recent dominance of lending in Africa, two-thirds of whose new loans come from Beijing. So it’s within reason to see the IFC being instrumentalised as part of the US plan to counter China in Africa, especially within the context of US-China geopolitical rivalry in Africa. No wonder, Diop says his ‘highest priority’ is ‘fragile states, particularly in Africa.’ But whatever strategy is at play, the plurality in financing sources gives Africa the chance to cherry-pick debt with good terms.
Proportional representation in politics, business and community leadership
Why is homosexuality still a sensitive topic in Africa? The debate about the place of homosexuals in African society has resurfaced after anti-gay outcry forced Ghana’s first LGBT+ community centre to pre-emptively and temporarily close to protect its staff and visitors, three weeks after it opened. Church groups, politicians and antigay rights organisations have been asking the government to shut down the centre on the basis of colonial laws, religious morality, and the idea that homosexuality is imported by the West. But homosexuality existed in Africa long before the Continent was colonized with research showing that same-sex practices and diverse sexualities can be found all over the continent. For instance, whilst ancient San rock paintings in Zimbabwe dating back 2,000 years show explicit scenes between copulating males, a 19th century King of Buganda in what is now Uganda was openly gay. All Africans can co-exist, irrespective of their sexuality, like they did before colonisation.
Private vs. state: What is the best approach to locally refining Africa’s crude? Africa produces more crude than it can refine and it consumes more oil products than it manufactures. As the world’s fastest-growing oil consumer, Africa consumed 4.5mn bbl/d by 2018, but its total refinery throughput hovered around 2.1mn bbl/d. Consequently, a raft of African countries are now increasing their refining capacity. The latest is Congo Brazzaville, which recently launched the construction of a $600mn refinery. As national oil companies (NOCs) dominate Africa’s oil refining, it remains to be seen how sustainable this approach is, especially when oil prices are plummeting. While NOCs accelerate domestic refinery development, inefficiencies have rendered many of them unprofitable and obsolete. Yet private ownership has proved successful and poses an alternative to the state-owned model. State or private ownership, every country needs to establish their own functional balance of output to refinement.
Scaleable energy access
Solar-powered telephone masts to connect rural communities to the world. Leading players in the telephone industry have partnered to build 2,000 solar-powered communication masts in DRC. The masts will be erected across the DRC countryside, particularly in communities with around 5,000 people. For greater impact, multiple mobile operators will be able to use the masts. Project partners Canadian tech firm NuRAN and French telecom giants Orange say up to 10mn people or 11.5% of the DRC population “that currently have to travel just to make a phone call” will benefit. Such projects help overcome geographical barriers and investment rigidities hampering modern communications in rural Africa. While a similar project was successful in Cameroon, authorities in conflict-ridden DRC ought to protect the masts.
Exporting culture & identity
Is Naomi Campbell a suitable ambassador for Kenya’s tourism? That’s the million-follower question on the lips, or should I say fingers of Kenyans online. When Kenya announced supermodel Naomi Campbell as its international ambassador for tourism, the news courted instant outrage from some Kenyans online, who argued that natives like actress Lupita Nyong'o as well as models Ajuma Nasenyana and Debra Sanaipei were better placed for the role. While Campbell seemed unfazed by the online debate, she’s yet to fully grasp the socio-cultural dynamics involving the role. Weeks after her appointment, she stirred controversy by sharing a video to her 10mn followers on Instagram but used the song ‘My Maserati’ by Nigerian artist Olakira as the soundtrack. But ultimately, Kenyans could focus more on Campbell’s capabilities to market their country’s tourism sector to the world rather than her nationality. Can she get the job done? That’s what they ought to ask!
Essential infrastructure, personal living-space & utilities
Benefits of data centre competition in Africa. As smartphone usage and adoption of business software soars in Africa, data-storage companies are competing to profit from the cloud-computing boom on the Continent. Teraco Data Environments, Africa’s largest data centre provider - which is considering expanding to Nigeria and Kenya - is the latest company to tap into the growing market. More data centres will translate to faster internet connectivity and cheaper data storage. But the localisation of data centres also renders them vulnerable to state control. Governments ought to see data centres as tools for facilitating business and growth rather than weapons for controlling populations as witnessed in Uganda. Africa accounts for less than 1% of total global data centre capacity, despite having 17% of the population.
High value skills development and talent repatriation
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